METODE VECTOR AUTOREGRESSIVE (VAR) DALAM PERAMALAN JUMLAH WISATAWAN MANCANEGARA KE BALI

Debt Contagion in Europe: A Panel-Vector Autoregressive (VAR) Analysis

Abstract: The European sovereign-debt crisis began in Greece when the government announced in December, 2009, that its debt reached 121% of GDP (or 300 billion euros) and its 2009 budget deficit was 12.7% of GDP, four times the level allowed by the Maastricht Treaty. The Greek crisis soon spread to other Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) countries, notably Ireland, Portugal, Spain and Italy. Us...

Klasifikasi Data Cardiotocography Dengan Integrasi Metode Neural Network Dan Particle Swarm Optimization

Backpropagation (BP) adalah sebuah metode yang digunakan dalam training Neural Network (NN) untuk menentukan parameter bobot yang sesuai. Proses penentuan parameter bobot dengan menggunakan metode backpropagation sangat dipengaruhi oleh pemilihan nilai learning rate (LR)-nya. Penggunaan nilai learning rate yang kurang optimal berdampak pada waktu komputasi yang lama atau akurasi klasifikasi yan...

Fiscal Aggregates, Aid and Growth in Kenya: A Vector Autoregressive (VAR) Analysis

Theoretical predictions and empirical evidence on the impact of foreign aid and fiscal policy on growth are mixed. This paper examines the effect of fiscal variables (government expenditure and revenue) and aid on growth using annual time series data for Kenya over the period 1964 – 2002. Multivariate cointegration (VAR) and vector error correction models (VECM) are estimated to establish both ...

Vector Autoregressive Models

Comparison of Neural Network Models, Vector Auto Regression (VAR), Bayesian Vector-Autoregressive (BVAR), Generalized Auto Regressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) Process and Time Series in Forecasting Inflation in ‎Iran‎

‎This paper has two aims. The first is forecasting inflation in Iran using Macroeconomic variables data in Iran (Inflation rate, liquidity, GDP, prices of imported goods and exchange rates) , and the second is comparing the performance of forecasting vector auto regression (VAR), Bayesian Vector-Autoregressive (BVAR), GARCH, time series and neural network models by which Iran's inflation is for...